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本文从政策创新扩散理论和新制度主义理论双重视角出发，探讨官员异地考察对移动政务服务平台扩散的影响。文章选取2014—2022年中国31个省级政府的面板数据进行定向配对事件史分析，实证检验官员异地考察与创新采纳之间的关系，并分别考察强制、模仿和规范三种制度同构压力在其中发挥的调节效应，借此揭示了政策创新扩散中官员异地考察的作用机理。结果表明，官员异地考察对移动政务服务平台扩散具有显著促进作用，即移动政务服务平台省域扩散概率会随着省际官员异地考察次数增加而提升；强制压力、模仿压力和规范压力均会强化官员异地考察对创新采纳的正向影响。上述研究发现不仅增强了学习机制对政策创新扩散的理论解释力，也为理解官员异地考察的政策扩散效应提供了经验证据支持。
Abstract：Diffusion of policy innovation is essentially the dissemination and diffusion of innovation policy information among governments, thus inter-government relations are the basis for understanding policy knowledge transfer. Based on the dual perspectives of innovation diffusion theory and new institutionalism, this paper empirically tests the relationship between offsite visits and mobile government policy adoption to examine the moderating effects of coercive pressures, imitative pressures, and normative pressures. Using the directed dyadic event-history analysis method, the diffusion effects based on the launch of mobile government platforms in China's provincial governments from 2014 to 2022 are tested. The results suggest that offsite visits have a significant positive effect on the adoption of mobile government platforms. The likelihood of diffusion of mobile government platforms among provinces is positively related to the number of offsite visits. Second, the pressures arising from institutional isomorphism, including the coercive pressures, mimetic pressures, and normative pressures, will strengthen the positive effects of offsite visits on the adoption of policy innovations. Third, the results of a heterogeneity analysis suggest that offsite visits significantly and positively affect diffusion between two provinces with large differences in e-government performance, while the opposite is not significant. Moreover, offsite visits also have a positive impact on diffusion between two provinces in the same metropolitan area. This paper reveals the mechanism of offsite visits on the diffusion of policy innovations and explores the enhancement effects of multiple institutional pressures on this mechanism. The findings enhance an understanding of the learning mechanism on innovation diffusion and provide supporting evidence for an understanding of the policy diffusion effects inspired by leaders' offsite visits.Our research contributes to the extant literature in three aspects. First, it breaks through the potential theoretical presuppositions of traditional rational and social learning, and it strengthens the theoretical explanatory power of the learning mechanism as the driving force behind the diffusion of policy innovation. Second, it incorporates the study of officials' offsite visits into the framework of policy innovation diffusion, providing a new theoretical perspective and observation point for research on localized policy innovation diffusion. Third, it considers the conditional attributes of the learning mechanism on the diffusion of policy innovation and examines the context in which leaders' offsite visits as a learning mechanism affect the diffusion of policy innovation.
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基本信息:
中图分类号:D63;D630.3
引用信息:
[1]林民望,宋凌汕.官员异地考察何以影响移动政务服务平台扩散?——一项事件史分析[J].公共管理评论,2025,7(04):104-130.
基金信息:
国家社会科学基金一般项目“城市群跨域环境治理府际协作网络的形成机制与治理效应研究”(项目批准号:24BGL223)的资助