犯罪与政治信任——基于亚洲13个国家和地区的多层次分析Crime and Political Trust—A Multilevel Analysis of Thirteen Asian Countries and Regions
吴进进,邵东珂
摘要(Abstract)：
本文使用第二波亚洲民主价值观调查13个亚洲国家和地区的数据,运用有序logistic回归模型和多层线性模型(HLM),检验了公众犯罪受害经历、国家(地区)的犯罪率(谋杀率)对公众政治信任(政府机构信任和弥散性信任)的影响。本文发现,无论是个体的犯罪受害经历,还是国家(地区)层面的谋杀率都显著降低了个体的政治信任。有犯罪受害经历的公众的政府机构信任度和政治弥散性信任度都低于没有犯罪受害经历的公众。一国(地区)的谋杀率越高,公众的政府机构信任度也越低。但是谋杀率对弥散性信任的影响较弱。既有的研究几乎只专注于拉美地区个体层面的犯罪受害经历对政治信任的影响,本文首次将研究的视角扩展到亚洲国家和地区,并且使用多层线性模型分析国家(地区)层次犯罪率的影响。
关键词(KeyWords)： 犯罪;犯罪受害;机构信任;弥散性信任
基金项目(Foundation): 教育部(哲社重大攻关)“社会稳定风险评估与社会矛盾预防研究”课题(编号:11JZD029)阶段性研究成果
作者(Author): 吴进进,邵东珂
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