人均收入、女性社会地位与生育率——基于跨国面板数据的经验研究Per Capita Income,the Social Status of Women,and Fertility Rates—An Empirical Analysis Based on Cross-Country Panel Data
于淼,丁孟宇
摘要(Abstract)：
本研究基于1997—2010年世界范围内124个国家的跨国面板数据,应用固定效应模型,证明了人均收入水平、女性的社会地位对总和生育率(TFR)的重要作用。估计结果显示,人均收入水平与TFR的变化呈现反J型曲线的关系,支持了Myrskyl等的结论。中小学女生与男生入学率之比和国会中女性席位比例对TFR有显著负向影响,在控制了前者之后,后者的显著性得到了提高。这表明女性社会地位的提高将会降低生育率;当社会分化程度较低时,精英女性的行为才会对整体的生育率有较高的解释力。在发展中国家,女性社会地位的因素对生育水平下降具有特别重要的作用。
关键词(KeyWords)： 女性社会地位;人均收入;总和生育率
基金项目(Foundation): 2012年度国家社会科学基金项目“人口老龄化与养老产业发展研究”(12AGL002)
作者(Author): 于淼,丁孟宇
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