基于数字平台的全过程公众参与——结合平台数据与调查问卷的实证分析Making Platform-based Public Participation Work:Evidence from Digital Participatory Budgeting in Chengdu
王彤,张开平,庄明
摘要(Abstract):
借助数字技术推进全过程人民民主实践,是一项重要且亟待深入探索的学术议题。本文聚焦于公众如何通过数字平台参与治理,以及哪些因素影响其数字参与意愿和实际行为。笔者使用C市参与式预算平台逾600万条匿名行为足迹,描摹公众参与预算分配全周期的实景概貌,并开展两轮问卷调查揭示公众数字参与的心理机制。研究发现,数字平台为公众参与诉求表达、利益讨论、协商决策、执行监督和结果评议等各个环节提供了整合的参与平台和开放的参与机会,其中对激发公众诉求表达方面的效果尤为显著。技术赋能感知和技术效能感通过刺激内外部政治效能感提升了公众的数字参与意愿;外部效能感则是影响公众实际参与行为的关键心理因素。本研究旨在通过经验证据探究数字技术能否扩大基层公众参与,并推动平等、参与、协商和回应等民主价值实践。
关键词(KeyWords): 数字参与;社会治理;全过程人民民主;计算社会科学
基金项目(Foundation): 清华大学自主科研计划文科专项“政治传播学的前沿推进与自主知识体系探索”(项目批准号:2023THZWJC17)的资助
作者(Author): 王彤,张开平,庄明
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- (2)本文的研究重点并非阐释公众参与意愿和参与行为间的具体关系,而是在区分意愿和行为的基础之上,探讨公众参与的影响因素。
- (3)对“社区保障金”的参与式预算覆盖C市全域城乡社区,鼓励居民自主参与保障资金的分配。资金划拨分别按照“10万元+1500元/百人”与“25万元+4000元/百人”的标准向城市社区和农村社区拨付。资金的使用遵循民事民定、自下而上、村财村管、居财居管的原则,主要用于社区志愿服务、社区公共服务、社区治理服务等项目。
- (4)大数据能够克服自我汇报偏差等调查数据的局限,为研究政治行为提供实际行为数据,有助于揭示现象的实景概貌。调查数据则有助于厘清人们的主观认知与行为之间的关系,揭示现象背后的心理机制和路径;大数据和小数据的结合能够实现方法论的优势互补。
- (5)技术赋能感知变量主要采取两种处理方法:一种是五小题加总取均值的方式,另一种是因子分析的方式。因子分析结果为:主成分分析结果和平行性检验结果建议可以提取出一个因子,不存在多重相关系数平方值(Squared Multiple Correlation)过小的变量,也不存在KMO(Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin)检验值过小的变量,表明变量间的相关性较强,适合进行因子分析。五小题的因子载荷分别为0.77、0.77、0.76、0.79、0.82,因子特征值为3.069,方差贡献率为0.614。在本文的分析中,选择加总取均值的方式得出技术赋能感知这一自变量。技术赋能感知变量表达了民众对于数字技术能够促进各个环节参与的主观认知,加总取均值的方式能够更加直观地表达本文分析的直接意图。为了验证结果的稳健性,本文将因子分析生成技术赋能感知变量纳入回归模型之中,得出的分析结果与加总取均值的方式在方向、取值等方面无明显差异。
- (6)实际参与行为变量的最小值为1,最大值为505,平均值为24.13,标准差为57.9。
- (7)技术效能感变量的最小值为1,最大值为4,平均值为3.25,标准差为0.75;技术赋能感知变量的最小值为1,最大值为4,平均值为3.3,标准差为0.62;内部政治效能感变量的最小值为1,最大值为10,平均值为6.75,标准差为2.97;外部政治效能感变量的最小值为1,最大值为4,平均值为2.41,标准差为0.88。
- (8)社区通常会在3月集中对公众诉求进行收集,并在4月召开议事会吸纳公众参与。前两个环节都完成之后就会进入项目公示、项目实施和结果评议环节。
- (9)为了检验回归模型的稳定性和结果的稳健性,笔者团队进行了共线性诊断和共同来源偏差检验。结果显示,在多元线性回归模型中,自变量间的方差膨胀系数VIF值均接近于1,说明自变量间的多重共线性较弱,不存在严重的共线性问题。通过Harman单因素检验,笔者团队发现EFA析出的第一个因子解释的方差占比为38%,未超过总解释量的40%,故可以认为其通过了同源偏差检验。
- (10)在调节效应的分析中,本研究将参与机会、受教育水平、收入水平、政治面貌进行了再赋值处理,其中未参与过、低教育水平、低收入水平以及群众分别赋值为0,其他分别赋值为1。受教育水平以高中为切分点,小学及以下、初中、高中、职高和中专为低教育水平,大专、大学本科、硕博生为高教育水平;根据2023年家庭收入等级表的划分标准,8万通常是划分小康水平的具体标准,故收入变量以8万为切分标准,0~8万为低收入群体,8万以上则为中高收入群体。
- (11)本研究还对技术赋能感知对数字参与意愿影响的效应进行了异质性分析。结果显示,该影响效应对于以前没有参与过资金分配的群体尤为明显。受教育水平、收入水平和政治面貌变量的交互效应并不显著。