政绩考核与环境治理效率——基于政绩考核新规的准实验研究Performance Evaluations and the Efficiency of Environmental Governance:A Quasi-Experimental Study Based on the New Rules to Evaluate Performance
吴建祖,王碧莹
摘要(Abstract):
强化环境政绩考核并激励地方政府主政官员提高环境治理效率,是实现生态文明建设的重要制度保障。本文以中共中央组织部颁布《关于改进地方党政领导班子和领导干部政绩考核工作的通知》(简称“政绩考核新规”)为准实验,以2011—2019年中国256个地级市为样本,运用广义双重和三重差分方法检验政绩考核新规对地方政府主政官员环境治理的晋升激励效应,以及财政压力对这一效应的边际影响。研究发现,政绩考核新规能够激励晋升动机较高的地方政府主政官员提高环境治理效率,但这种激励效应不具有长效性。此外,财政压力越大,政绩考核新规的晋升激励效应越弱。本文的实践启示是,中央政府可以通过改变政绩考核制度激励地方政府主政官员达到中央政府的政策目标。同时,为了使政绩考核制度的激励效应发挥作用,中央政府还应充分考虑地方政府以及地方主政官员的异质性,并提供诸如财政支持等配套政策措施。
关键词(KeyWords): 政绩考核;环境治理效率;官员晋升动机;财政压力;广义双重差分
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于注意力基础观的企业环境战略研究”(项目批准号:71972094);; 中央高校基本科研业务项目“政绩考核新规的环境治理效应及作用机制研究”(项目批准号:22lzujbkyxs018)资助
作者(Author): 吴建祖,王碧莹
参考文献(References):
- 包国宪,关斌.2019.财政压力会降低地方政府环境治理效率吗——一个被调节的中介模型[J].中国人口·资源与环境,29(4):38-48.Bao G X,Guan B.2019.Does fiscal pressure reduce the environmental governance efficiency of local governments:A moderated mediation model[J].China Population,Resources and Environment,29(4):38-48.(in Chinese)
- 关斌.2020.地方政府环境治理中绩效压力是把双刃剑吗?——基于公共价值冲突视角的实证分析[J].公共管理学报,17(2):53-69.Guan B.2020.Does performance pressure is a double-edged sword in local government environmental governance—Empirical analysis based on public value conflict view[J].Journal of Public Management,17(2):53-69.(in Chinese)
- 郭月梅,薛景文.2021.地方政府债务的非线性环境效应研究[J].统计研究,38(12):105-117.Guo Y M,Xue J W.2021.Non-linear environmental effects of local government debt[J].Statistical Research,38(12):105-117.(in Chinese)
- 胡光旗,踪家峰.2022.中国存在环境锦标赛吗?——基于地级市的经验证据[J].经济学报,9(1):85-107.Hu G Q,Zong J F.2022.Does China exsit environmental tournament?—Empirical evidence based on prefecture-level cities[J].China Journal of Economics,9(1):85-107.(in Chinese)
- 纪志宏,周黎安,王鹏,等.2014.地方官员晋升激励与银行信贷——来自中国城市商业银行的经验证据[J].金融研究,(1):1-15.Ji Z H,Zhou L A,Wang P,et al.2014.Promotion incentives of local officials and bank lending:Evidence from China's city commercial banks[J].Journal of Financial Research,(1):1-15.(in Chinese)
- 金刚,沈坤荣.2019.地方官员晋升激励与河长制演进:基于官员年龄的视角[J].财贸经济,40(4):20-34.Jin G,Shen K R.2019.Political incentives for local officials and the diffusion of river chief system:From the perspective of officials' age[J].Finance & Trade Economics,40(4):20-34.(in Chinese)
- 李媛媛,郑偲.2022.元治理视阈下中央环保督察制度的省思与完善[J].治理研究,38(1):50-65.Li Y Y,Zheng S.2022.Reflecting on the path to optimizing the central Environmental Inspection System from the perspective of Meta-Governance[J].Governance Studies,38(1):50-65.(in Chinese)
- 龙硕,胡军.2014.政企合谋视角下的环境污染:理论与实证研究[J].财经研究,40(10):131-144.Long S,Hu J.2014.On environmental pollution from the perspective of government-enterprise collusion:Theoretical and empirical analysis[J].Journal of Finance and Economics,40(10):131-144.(in Chinese)
- 乔坤元.2013.我国官员晋升锦标赛机制的再考察——来自省、市两级政府的证据[J].财经研究,39(4):123-133.Qiao K Y.2013.A reexamination of the mechanism of official promotion tournament in China:Evidence from provincial and municipal governments[J].Journal of Finance and Economics,39(4):123-133.(in Chinese)
- 冉冉.2015.中国地方环境政治——政策与执行之间的距离[M].北京:中央编译出版社,66-70.Ran R.2015.China's local environmental politics[M].Beijing:Central Compilation & Translation Press,66-70.(in Chinese)
- 孙开,张磊.2019.分权程度省际差异、财政压力与基本公共服务支出偏向——以地方政府间权责安排为视角[J].财贸经济,40(8):18-32.Sun K,Zhang L.2019.Inter-provincial differences in decentralization,fiscal pressure and the bias of basic public service expenditure—From the perspective of local governments' power and responsibility arrangement[J].Finance & Trade Economics,40(8):18-32.(in Chinese)
- 王磊,王兰兰.2022.“文明城市”评选与地方城投债规模的扩张:一个基于评比表彰机制的分析[J].中央财经大学学报,(1):74-88.Wang L,Wang L L.2022.“National Civilized City” policy and expansion of municipal investment debt size:An analysis from “Rating & Praise” scheme[J].Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics,(1):74-88.(in Chinese)
- 王贤彬,徐现祥.2010.地方官员晋升竞争与经济增长[J].经济科学,(6):42-58.Wang X B,Xu X X.2010.Promotion Competition of Local Officials and economic growth[J].Economic Science,(6):42-58.(in Chinese)
- 王小龙,陈金皇.2020.省直管县改革与区域空气污染——来自卫星反演数据的实证证据[J].金融研究,(11):76-93.Wang X L,Chen J H.2020.Province managing county reform and regional air pollution:Empirical evidence from satellite inversion data[J].Journal of Financial Research,(11):76-93.(in Chinese)
- 吴建祖,王蓉娟.2019.环保约谈提高地方政府环境治理效率了吗?——基于双重差分方法的实证分析[J].公共管理学报,16(1):54-65.Wu J Z,Wang R J.2019.Have the talk with local officials about environmental protection promoted the efficiency of local government environmental governance?—Empirical analysis based on difference in differences method[J].Journal of Public Management,16(1):54-65.(in Chinese)
- 杨海生,陈少凌,周永章.2008.地方政府竞争与环境政策——来自中国省份数据的证据[J].南方经济,(6):15-30.Yang H S,Chen S L,Zhou Y Z.2008.Local government competition and environmental policy:Empirical evidence from province's governments in China[J].South China Journal of Economics,(6):15-30.(in Chinese)
- 尤萱文,万俊毅.2022.地方官员涉农经历对农产品质量安全水平的空间溢出效应研究——来自中国地级市的证据[J].南方经济,(3):37-52.You X W,Wan J Y.2022.Research on the spatial spillover effect of local officials' agriculture-related experience on the quality and safety of agricultural products:Evidence from Chinese cities[J].South China Journal of Economics,(3):37-52.(in Chinese)
- 张华.2016.地区间环境规制的策略互动研究——对环境规制非完全执行普遍性的解释[J].中国工业经济,(7):74-90.Zhang H.2016.Strategic interaction of regional environmental regulation:An explanation on the universality of incomplete enforcement of environmental regulation[J].China Industrial Economics,(7):74-90.(in Chinese)
- 张军,高远.2007.官员任期、异地交流与经济增长——来自省级经验的证据[J].经济研究,42(11):91-103.Zhang J,Gao Y.2007.Term limits and rotation of Chinese governors:Do they matter to economic growth?[J].Economic Research Journal,42(11):91-103.
- 张军,樊海潮,许志伟,等.2020.GDP增速的结构性下调:官员考核机制的视角[J].经济研究,55(5):31-48.Zhang J,Fan H C,Xu Z W,et al.2020.Structural decline in the GDP growth rate:The impact of the official assessment mechanism[J].Economic Research Journal,55(5):31-48.(in Chinese)
- 张振波.2020.从逐底竞争到策略性模仿——绩效考核生态化如何影响地方政府环境治理的竞争策略?[J].公共行政评论,13(6):114-131.Zhang Z B.2020.From race-to-the-bottom to strategic imitation:How does the ecological transformation of government performance assessment affect the competing strategy of environmental governance across Chinese local governments[J].Journal of Public Administration,13(6):114-131.
- 郑石明.2016.政治周期、五年规划与环境污染——以工业二氧化硫排放为例[J].政治学研究,(2):80-94.Zheng S M.2016.Political cycle,five-year plan and environmental pollution—With empirical analysis of industrial sulfur dioxide emissions[J].CASS Journal of Political Science,(2):80-94.(in Chinese)
- 周黎安.2007.中国地方官员的晋升锦标赛模式研究[J].经济研究,(7):36-50.Zhou L A.2007.Governing China's local officials:An analysis of promotion tournament model[J].Economic Research Journal,(7):36-50.(in Chinese)
- 周黎安.2014.行政发包制[J].社会,34(6):1-38.Zhou L A.2014.Administrative subcontract[J].Chinese Journal of Sociology,34(6):1-38.(in Chinese)
- 周黎安.2021.地区增长联盟与中国特色的政商关系[J].社会,41(6):1-40.Zhou L A.2021.Local growth coalition and the government-business relations:Chinese style[J].Chinese Journal of Sociology,41(6):1-40.(in Chinese)
- 周文婷,吴一平.2020.基于财政补贴视角的隐性担保对信贷约束的影响[J].财政研究,(10):42-56.Zhou W T,Wu Y P.2020.The impact of implicit guarantees on credit constraints from the perspective of fiscal subsidies[J].Public Finance Research,(10):42-56.(in Chinese)
- Chen X D,Ke Y T,Li H Y,et al.2022.Does the promotion pressure on local officials matter for regional carbon emissions?Evidence based on provincial-level leaders in China[J].Environmental Geochemistry and Health,44(9):2881-2903.
- Deschenes O,Meng K C.2018.Quasi-experimental methods in environmental economics:Opportunities and challenges[M]//Dasgupta P,Pattanayak S K,Smith V K.Handbook of Environmental Economics.Amsterdam:North-Holland,4:285-332.
- Du J,Yi H.2022.Target-setting,political incentives,and the tricky trade-off between economic development and environmental protection[J].Public Administration,100(4):923-941.
- Elvidge C D,Ziskin D,Baugh K E,et al.2009.A fifteen year record of global natural gas flaring derived from satellite data[J].Energies,2(3):595-622.
- Henderson J V,Storeygard A,Weil D N.2012.Measuring economic growth from outer space[J].American Economic Review,102(2):994-1028.
- Hui C H,Shen F,Tong L,et al.2022.Fiscal pressure and air pollution in resource-dependent cities:Evidence from China[J].Frontiers in Environmental Science,10:908490.
- Jia R X.2017.Pollution for promotion[R].21st Century China Center Research Paper.
- Li H B,Zhou L A.2005.Political turnover and economic performance:The incentive role of personnel control in China[J].Journal of Public Economics,89(9/10):1743-1762.
- Li N,Feng C,Shi B B,et al.2022.Does the change of official promotion assessment standards contribute to the improvement of urban environmental quality?[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,348:131254.
- Li S P,Lu J W.2020.A dual-agency model of firm CSR in response to institutional pressure:Evidence from Chinese publicly listed firms[J].Academy of Management Journal,63(6):2004-2032.
- Li Z D,Hou Y H,Cao J L,et al.2022.What drives green development in China:Public pressure or the willingness of local government?[J].Environmental Science and Pollution Research,29(4):5454-5468.
- Lin L,Hong Y R.2022.Developing a green bonds market:Lessons from China[J].European Business Organization Law Review,23(1):143-185.
- Liu Q,Lu Y.2015.Firm investment and exporting:Evidence from China's value-added tax reform[J].Journal of International Economics,97(2):392-403.
- Luo W J,Qin S K.2021.China's local political turnover in the twenty-first century[J].Journal of Chinese Political Science,26(4):651-674.
- Ma J J,Guo J Y,Ahmad S,et al.2020.Constructing a new inter-calibration method for DMSP-OLS and NPP-VIIRS nighttime light[J].Remote Sensing,12(6):937.
- Meng H,Huang X J,Yang H,et al.2019.The influence of local officials' promotion incentives on carbon emission in Yangtze River Delta,China[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,213:1337-1345.
- O'Brien K J,Li L J.1999.Selective policy implementation in rural China[J].Comparative Politics,31(2):167-185.
- Oda T,Maksyutov S,Andres R J.2018.The Open-source Data Inventory for Anthropogenic CO2,version 2016 (ODIAC2016):A global monthly fossil fuel CO2 gridded emissions data product for tracer transport simulations and surface flux inversions[J].Earth System Science Data,10(1):87-107.
- Pan L L,Yao S.2021.Does central environmental protection inspection enhance firms' environmental disclosure?Evidence from China[J].Growth and Change,52(3):1732-1760.
- Tone K.2002.A strange case of the cost and allocative efficiencies in DEA[J].The Journal of the Operational Research Society,53(11):1225-1231.
- van Donkelaar A,Hammer M S,Bindle L,et al.2021.Monthly global estimates of fine particulate matter and their uncertainty[J].Environmental Science & Technology,55(22):15287-15300.
- Weiner B.1985.An attributional theory of achievement motivation and emotion[J].Psychological Review,92(4):548-573.
- Xu C G.2011.The fundamental institutions of China's reforms and development[J].Journal of Economic Literature,49(4):1076-1151.