管兵

• 1:华南理工大学公共管理学院
• 2:华南理工大学国家治理研究中心

摘要(Abstract)：

当前社会科学方法教学存在显著的“理论-经验”二元割裂：教材体系聚焦经验材料采集与归纳技术训练，演绎方法所代表的理论建构能力培养被忽略，或者被完全等同于经典文本解读、学科史课程。这种割裂导致研究者在处理“理论导向的经验研究”时力有不逮，尤其在大数据与人工智能颠覆传统归纳优势的当下，演绎能力更应成为研究者的核心能力。现实研究中，演绎不足具体表现为：有理论视角无理论演绎、有文献综述却另起炉灶、有经验素材但缺少分析、有经验总结未推论外延。破解之道在于构建“演绎操作化”路径：对范式原初问题的持续追问、对话核心文献的演绎路径、向前演绎提出创新性理论框架、系统化的研究设计、维度化分析经验材料、明确情境化约束条件。社会科学诞生于工业革命的方法自觉，而今面对AI革命更需重拾学科初心，既深耕经验厚土，又锻造理论硬核。社会科学学者只有提供独特的、相对于人工智能仍保持优势的知识贡献，才能保卫自身的职业和志业。

关键词(KeyWords)： 归纳;演绎;理论框架;方法论;人工智能

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“新时代城乡社区治理体系建设研究”(项目批准号:20JZD029)的资助

作者(Author): 管兵

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