刘磊,唐美琳

• 1:四川大学公共管理学院

摘要(Abstract)：

中央政策能否有效落地与地方政府的政策响应行为紧密相关。既有研究围绕地方政府对同一中央政策的差异化响应行为已提出多种解释，但较少关注绩效反馈的影响。本研究以“省以下环保机构监测监察执法垂直管理制度改革”(简称“环保垂改”)为研究对象，基于2016年9月至2020年12月286个地级市的月度面板数据，采用Cox比例风险模型和零膨胀泊松回归模型揭示了绩效反馈与地方政府政策响应行为间的关系。研究发现，绝对环境绩效反馈较差的地方政府会缓慢、高强度地响应“环保垂改”政策，且该效应主要通过提高风险承担意愿实现；负向和正向历史环境绩效反馈越大的地方政府越倾向于缓慢、低强度地响应“环保垂改”政策，且该效应主要通过降低环境注意力实现；负向和正向社会环境绩效反馈对地方政策响应速度和强度均无显著影响。此外，经济发展水平强化了绝对绩效反馈、负向历史环境绩效反馈和正向历史环境绩效反馈对响应速度的作用，但抑制了绝对绩效反馈、正向历史环境绩效反馈及正向社会环境绩效反馈对响应强度的影响；公众环保关注度强化了绝对绩效反馈及负向历史环境绩效反馈对响应速度，以及正向历史环境绩效反馈对响应强度的影响。上述研究结果深化了对绩效反馈影响政府管理决策行为机制的理解，为进一步引导地方政府积极响应中央政策提供了实践启示。

关键词(KeyWords)： 绩效反馈;政策响应;响应速度;响应强度;环保垂改

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 四川大学青年杰出人才培育项目“环境分权对环境治理绩效的影响效应与作用机制:基于‘环保垂改’的实证研究”(项目批准号:SKSYL2023-10)的资助

作者(Author): 刘磊,唐美琳

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