危机沟通策略对地方政府信任的影响研究How Does a Government Crisis Communication Strategy Affect Public Trust in Local Government? Evidence Based on a Survey Experiment
高学德,王镇江
摘要(Abstract):
公共危机事件发生后,地方政府采用何种沟通策略以满足公众需求是政府治理实践和学术界关注的重要议题,但不同导向的危机沟通策略如何以及在多大程度上影响公众的政治态度仍是一个悬而未决的问题,本文提出并探讨了“管理型”和“关切型”两种不同的政府危机沟通策略对地方政府信任的直接和间接影响,并比较了不同公共危机事件类型下危机沟通策略影响地方政府信任的异质性。研究发现:(1)公共危机事件发生后,相比于“管理型”危机沟通策略,“关切型”危机沟通策略更有助于提高公众对地方政府的信任;(2)公众情绪在政府危机沟通策略影响地方政府信任的过程中起中介作用;(3)危机沟通策略对地方政府信任的影响因不同类型的公共危机事件而表现出较大的差异性,与意外事件和缺陷事件相比,在丑闻事件中运用“关切型”危机沟通策略更能提升公众对地方政府的信任水平。研究结果拓展了已有关于危机沟通策略的概念分类框架,丰富了学术界对政府危机沟通效果及其影响路径的理解,也有助于反思不同沟通策略的应用场景。
关键词(KeyWords): 公共危机事件;危机沟通策略;地方政府信任;公众情绪
基金项目(Foundation):
作者(Author): 高学德,王镇江
参考文献(References):
- 陈经超,吴倩.2017.社交媒体“类危机”沟通策略效果研究[J].新闻与传播研究,24(12):62-78.Chen J C,Wu Q.2017.A study of communication strategies of paracrisis under the social media context[J].Journalism & Communication,24(12):62-78.(in Chinese)
- 陈先红,王艳萍.2021.为民言说:政府应对疫情危机的积极公共关系策略研究[J].新闻大学,(12):38-50.Chen X H,Wang Y P.2021.Speaking for the people:Government's positive public relations strategy in response to pandemic crisis[J].Journalism Research,(12):38-50.(in Chinese)
- 方敏,张华.2021.危机干预如何修复政府信任?——风险沟通与社区支持的调节作用[J].公共行政评论,14(6):4-23.Fang M,Zhang H.2021.Can crisis intervention repair government Trust?The moderation effects of risk communication and community support[J].Journal of Public Administration,14(6):4-23.(in Chinese)
- 韩志明.2012.从“独白”走向“对话”——网络时代行政话语模式的转向[J].东南学术,(5):76-87.Han Z M.2012.From “monologue” to “dialogue”—The turn of administrative discourse mode in the network age[J].Southeast Academic Research,(5):76-87.(in Chinese)
- 何子英,陈丽君,黎灿辉.2014.突发公共事件背景下的有效政府沟通与政府公信力——一个新的分析框架[J].浙江社会科学,(4):40-46.He Z Y,Chen L J,Li C H.2014.Effective government communication and government credibility in the perspective of public emergencies:A new analysis framework[J].Zhejiang Social Sciences,(4):40-46.(in Chinese)
- 黄振华,王美娜.2021.政治沟通视角下的地方治理——地方政府沟通指数的测算与分析[J].行政论坛,28(6):58-65.Huang Z H,Wang M N.2021.Local governance from the perspective of political communication:Measurement and analysis of the local government communication index[J].Administrative Tribune,28(6):58-65.(in Chinese)
- 孔婧媛,滕广青,王思茗,等.2020.舆情当事人回应对网民情感的影响研究[J].图书情报工作,64(18):89-96.Kong J Y,Teng G Q,Wang S M,et al.2020.Impact of party's responses on netizens' emotions in public opinion[J].Library and Information Service,64(18):89-96.(in Chinese)
- 雷叙川,饶万婷.2023.危机动员方式何以影响政治信任?——一项基于列举实验的研究[J].公共管理评论,5(3):84-107.Lei X C,Rao W T.2023.How does crisis mobilization affect political trust?A study based on a list experiment[J].China Public Administration Review,5(3):84-107.(in Chinese)
- 李彪.2019.霸权与调适:危机语境下政府通报文本的传播修辞与话语生产——基于44个引发次生舆情的“情况通报”的多元分析[J].新闻与传播研究,26(4):25-44.Li B.2019.A study on the communication rhetoric and discourse production of government announcement texts in crises[J].Journalism & Communication,26(4):25-44.(in Chinese)
- 李春雷,马俐.2013.政府信任构建与大众传媒对拆迁心理的引导机制研究——基于唐福珍自焚事件的实证分析[J].国际新闻界,35(5):62-73.Li C L,Ma L.2013.Government trust constructing and psychology guiding of mass media in demolition:An empirical analysis of Tang Fuzhen selfimmolation[J].Chinese Journal of Journalism & Communication,35(5):62-73.(in Chinese)
- 李靖,李慧龙.2019.政务舆情中的社会情绪生成与治理——基于信息不对称视角的省思[J].东北师大学报(哲学社会科学版),(1):77-84.Li J,Li H L.2019.The generation and governance of social emotion in online public opinion—Rethink from the perspective of information asymmetry[J].Journal of Northeast Normal University (Philosophy and Social Sciences),(1):77-84.(in Chinese)
- 李文星,郑海明.2007.论地方治理视野下的政府与公众互动式沟通机制的构建[J].中国行政管理,(5):69-72.Li W X,Zheng H M.2007.On the construction of mutual communication mechanism system between government and the public in the view of local governance[J].Chinese Public Administration,(5):69-72.(in Chinese)
- 刘红波,高新珉.2021.负面舆情、政府回应与话语权重构——基于1711个社交媒体案例的分析[J].中国行政管理,(5):130-137.Liu H B,Gao X M.2021.Negative public opinion,government response,and the reconstruction of the discourse power—Based on analysis of 1711 social media cases[J].Chinese Public Administration,(5):130-137.(in Chinese)
- 刘晓程,刘王平.2021.如何对话:政策执行过程中的政府公共沟通及其影响因素[J].现代传播(中国传媒大学学报),43(7):89-94.Liu X C,Liu W P.2021.How to talk:Government public communication and its influencing factors in the process of policy implementation[J].Modern Communication (Journal of Communication University of China),43(7):89-94.(in Chinese)
- 宋欢迎,刘聪,张旭阳.2022.重大突发公共卫生事件政府回应效果影响因素研究——基于2011—2020年我国36起重大突发公共卫生事件的实证分析[J].情报理论与实践,45(1):152-158,176.Song H Y,Liu C,Zhang X Y.2022.Study on the factors influencing government response effect of major public health emergencies:An empirical analysis based on 36 major public health emergencies in China from 2011 to 2020[J].Information Studies:Theory & Application,45(1):152-158,176.(in Chinese)
- 武小龙.2021.柔性治理的发生逻辑及影响效应——以拆迁纠纷事件中政府的回应策略为例[J].社会发展研究,8(2):89-105.Wu X L.2021.The logic and influence effect of flexible governance:From the perspective of government response in demolition disputes[J].Journal of Social Development,8(2):89-105.(in Chinese)
- 吴旭秋,李伟强,袁博.2021.不公平感知后的政府信任修复[J].心理技术与应用,9(1):1-11.Wu X Q,Li W Q,Yuan B.2021.Government trust repair after the unfairness perception[J].Psychology:Techniques and Applications,9(1):1-11.(in Chinese)
- 徐彪,张媛媛,张珣.2014.负面事件后消费者信任受损及其外溢机理研究[J].管理科学,27(2):95-107.Xu B,Zhang Y Y,Zhang X.2014.A study on mechanism of consumer trust damage and its spillover after negative events[J].Journal of Management Science,27(2):95-107.(in Chinese)
- 徐彪,陆湾湾,刘晓蓉,等.2016.公共危机事件后公众对政府责任感知的形成机制研究[J].公共行政评论,9(6):144-163.Xu B,Lu W W,Liu X R,et al.2016.Research on the formulation mechanism of government responsibility perception after a crisis event[J].Journal of Public Administration,9(6):144-163.(in Chinese)
- 徐彪.2019.负面事件后政府信任危机的形成机制研究:一个准实验研究[J].学海,(2):113-125.Xu B.2019.Research on the formation mechanism of government trust crisis after negative events[J].Academia Bimestrie,(2):113-125.(in Chinese)
- 徐彪,张珣.2021.丑闻对公共信任的传染机制:一个准实验研究[J].管理评论,33(1):310-321.Xu B,Zhang X.2021.The contagion mechanism of public trust by government scandals:A quasi experimental study[J].Management Review,33(1):310-321.(in Chinese)
- 徐向龙,许鑫.2020.突发重大公共卫生事件初期公众信息关注与政府信任[J].图书馆杂志,39(12):128-136.Xu X L,Xu X.2020.Public information concern and government trust in the early stage of major public health emergencies[J].Library Journal,39(12):128-136.(in Chinese)
- 杨立华,程诚,刘宏福.2017.政府回应与网络群体性事件的解决——多案例的比较分析[J].北京师范大学学报(社会科学版),(2):110-124.Yang L H,Cheng C,Liu H F.2017.The government response and the resolution of internet mass incidents:A comparative analysis of multiple cases[J].Journal of Beijing Normal University (Social Sciences),(2):110-124.(in Chinese)
- 张春颜.2020.灾害性公共危机治理过程中的领导行为困境与能力提升路径——基于108个案例的深入分析[J].领导科学,(2):102-104.Zhang C Y.2020.Leadership behavior dilemma and ability improvement path in the process of disastrous public crisis governance—Based on in-depth analysis of 108 cases[J].Leadership Science,(2):102-104.(in Chinese)
- 张结海,吴瑛.2014.重大事件舆论引导的中国路径——一种基于公众情绪色谱的模型构建[J].现代传播(中国传媒大学学报),36(8):31-37.Zhang J.H,Wu Y.2014.China's path of public opinion guidance of major events—A model construction based on public emotion chromatography[J].Modern Communication (Journal of Communication University of China),36(8):31-37.(in Chinese)
- 张渝,邓维斌,龚云寒.2022.政府回应策略对公众在线抱怨处理满意度的影响机制[J].情报杂志,41(5):124-132.Zhang Y,Deng W B,Gong Y H.2022.The influence mechanism of governmental response strategy on public satisfaction with online complaint handling[J].Journal of Intelligence,41(5):124-132.(in Chinese)
- Bargain O,Aminjonov U.2020.Trust and compliance to public health policies in times of COVID-19[J].Journal of Public Economics,192:104316.
- Benoit W L.1997.Image repair discourse and crisis communication[J].Public Relations Review,23(2):177-186.
- Chen J D,Xu Y Q.2017.Information manipulation and reform in authoritarian regimes[J].Political Science Research and Methods,5(1):163-178.
- Chen L X,Xu N R.2023.Responding to crises collectively and cooperatively:The mechanism of ‘informative cooperation’ by the Chinese government and the public in Weibo-based crisis communication between 2010 and 2019[J].Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management,31(4):658-669.
- Coombs W T.2006.The protective powers of crisis response strategies:Managing reputational assets during a crisis[J].Journal of Promotion Management,12(3/4):241-260.
- Coombs W T.2007.Protecting organization reputations during a crisis:The development and application of situational crisis communication theory[J].Corporate Reputation Review,10(3):163-176.
- Coombs W T.2010.Parameters for crisis communication[M]//Coombs W T,Holladay S J.The Handbook of Crisis Communication.Chichester:Wiley-Blackwell,17-53.
- Ekman P,Freisen W V,Ancoli S.1980.Facial signs of emotional experience[J].Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,39(6):1125-1134.
- Fancourt D,Steptoe A,Wright L.2020.The Cummings effect:Politics,trust,and behaviours during the COVID-19 pandemic[J].The Lancet,396(10249):464-465.
- Fediuk T A,Pace K M,Botero I C.2010.Crisis response effectiveness:Methodological considerations for advancement in empirical investigation into response impact[M]//Coombs W T,Holladay S J.The Handbook of Crisis Communication.Chichester:Wiley-Blackwell,221-242.
- Forester J,McKibbon G.2020.Beyond blame:Leadership,collaboration and compassion in the time of COVID-19[J].Socio-Ecological Practice Research,2(3):205-216.
- Frandsen F,Johansen W.2009.Institutionalizing crisis communication in the public sector:An explorative study in Danish municipalities[J].International Journal of Strategic Communication,3(2):102-115.
- Gauld R,Flett J,McComb S,et al.2016.How responsive are government agencies when contacted by email?Findings from a longitudinal study in Australia and New Zealand[J].Government Information Quarterly,33(2):283-290.
- Gehlbach S,Sonin K.2014.Government control of the media[J].Journal of Public Economics,118:163-171.
- Grimmelikhuijsen S G,Knies E.2017.Validating a scale for citizen trust in government organizations[J].International Review of Administrative Sciences,(83):583- 601.
- Grimmelikhuijsen S G,Porumbescu G,Hong B.2013.The effect of transparency on trust in government:A cross-national comparative experiment[J].Public Administration Review,73(4):575-586.
- Guo Y,Chen J D,Liu Z L.2022.Government responsiveness and public acceptance of big-data technology in urban governance:Evidence from China during the COVID-19 pandemic[J].Cities,122:103536.
- Guo Y,Zhou L,Chen J D.2023.The persuasive role of the past:Policy feedback and citizens' acceptance of information communication technologies during the COVID-19 pandemic in China[J].Review of Policy Research,40(4):573-588.
- Hibbing J R.2001.Process preferences and American politics:What the people want government to be[J].American Political Science Review,95(1):145-153.
- Hood C.2007.What happens when transparency meets blame-avoidance?[J].Public Management Review,9(2):191-210.
- Houston J B,Hawthorne J,Perreault M F,et al.2015.Social media and disasters:A functional framework for social media use in disaster planning,response,and research[J].Disasters,39(1):1-22.
- Hu Q,Zhong W.2023.State-level politicization of crisis communication on Twitter during COVID-19:Conceptualization,measurement,and impacts[J].Public Administration Review,83(5):1266-1280.
- Huang H F.2018.The pathology of hard propaganda[J].The Journal of Politics,80(3):1034-1038.
- Huang Y H C,Wu F,Cheng Y.2016.Crisis communication in context:Cultural and political influences underpinning Chinese public relations practice[J].Public Relations Review,42(1):201-213.
- Hyland-Wood B,Gardner J,Leask J,et al.2021.Toward effective government communication strategies in the era of COVID-19[J].Humanities and Social Sciences Communications,8(1):1-11.
- Kapucu N,Van Wart M.2006.The evolving role of the public sector in managing catastrophic disasters:Lessons learned[J].Administration & Society,38(3):279-308.
- Kapucu N,Van Wart M,Sylves R,et al.2011.U.S.presidents and their roles in emergency management and disaster policy 1950—2009[J].Risk,Hazards & Crisis in Public Policy,2(3):1-34.
- Lee D.2022.Managing bureaucratic reputation in the face of crises:An experimental examination of the effect of strategic communication[J].Public Administration Review,82(6):1124-1137.
- Lewicki R J,Bunker B B.1996.Developing and maintaining trust in work relationships[M]//Kramerand R M,Tyler T R.Trust in Organizations:Frontiers of Theory and Research.London:Sage Publications,114-139.
- Lim J S.2019.The effectiveness of refutation with logic vs.indignation in restoring the credibility of and trust in a government organization:A heuristic-systematic model of crisis communication processing[J].Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management,27(2):157-167.
- Marcus A A,Goodman R S.1991.Victims and shareholders:The dilemmas of presenting corporate policy during a crisis[J].The Academy of Management Journal,34(2):281-305.
- Mayer R C,Davis J H,Schoorman F D.1995.An integrative model of organizational trust[J].Academy of Management Review,20(3):709-734.
- Miller A H.1974.Political issues and trust in government:1964—1970[J].American Political Science Review,68(3):951-972.
- Nie L,Wang H C.2023.Government responsiveness and citizen satisfaction:Evidence from environmental governance[J].Governance,36(4):1125-1146.
- N?hammer E,Schorn R,Becker N.2023.Optimizing the organizational crisis communication portfolio[J].Corporate Reputation Review,26(4):304-319.
- S?rensen E,Ansell C.2023.Towards a concept of political robustness[J].Political Studies,71(1):69-88.
- Spialek M L,Houston J B.2018.The development and initial validation of the citizen disaster communication assessment[J].Communication Research,45(6):934-955.
- Stam D,Van Knippenberg D,Wisse B,et al.2018.Motivation in words:Promotion- and prevention-oriented leader communication in times of crisis[J].Journal of Management,44(7):2859-2887.
- Tong Y Q.2011.Morality,benevolence,and responsibility:Regime legitimacy in China from past to the present[J].Journal of Chinese Political Science,16(2):141-159.
- Van de Walle S.2016.When public services fail:A research agenda on public service failure[J].Journal of Service Management,27(5):831-846.
- Walker R M,Brewer G A,Boyne G A,et al.2011.Market orientation and public service performance:New public management gone mad?[J].Public Administration Review,71(5):707-717.
- Weimer D L.2020.When are nudges desirable?Benefit validity when preferences are not consistently revealed[J].Public Administration Review,80(1):118-126.
- Weiner B.1986.An attributional theory of motivation and emotion[M].New York:Springer-Verlag.
- Williams W.1998.Why people don't trust government[J].Journal of Policy Analysis and Management,17(4):721-730.
- Zeemering E S.2021.Functional fragmentation in city hall and Twitter communication during the COVID-19 pandemic:Evidence from Atlanta,San Francisco,and Washington,DC[J].Government Information Quarterly,38(1):101539.
- Zhong W,Hu Q,Kapucu N.2023.Robust crisis communication in turbulent times:Conceptualization and empirical evidence from the United States[J].Public Administration,101(1):158-181.