中国老龄人口有效赡养比研究Research on China's Real Old-age Dependency Ratio
胡乃军,杨燕绥
摘要(Abstract)：
统计学根据老龄人口对劳动年龄人口的比例反映老龄人口的赡养负担(统计赡养比),这里可能掩盖了一些社会问题,误判劳动人口的供养能力,导致政府滥用劳动人口红利优势,贻误制定应对人口老龄化战略的时机。本文提出老龄人口有效赡养比的理论框架,以及在校生、失业人群、低收入人群和提前退休人群的剔除法,通过探讨真实老龄人口赡养比问题,揭示人口老龄化对中国完善公共政策与公共治理的挑战。
关键词(KeyWords)： 人口老龄化;有效赡养比;公共政策
基金项目(Foundation): 2012年度国家社会科学基金项目“人口老龄化与养老产业发展研究”项目(12AGL002);; 中国博士后科学基金会第52期博士后基金面上资助项目“人口老龄化进程与中国养老金负债研究”(2012M520319)资助
作者(Author): 胡乃军,杨燕绥
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