重大公共卫生事件中政治态度的变化路径研究——基于扎根理论的分析Research on the Changing Paths of Political Attitudese in Major Public Health Incidents:An Analysis based on Grounded Theory
李蓉蓉,李晓丹,段萌琦
摘要(Abstract):
面对突如其来的重大公共卫生事件的冲击,民众的政治态度极易发生变化。本文借助扎根理论的分析发现:在重大公共卫生事件中,民众的政治态度发生了积极与消极两种方向的变化,朝向积极方向的政治态度变化更多体现于政治认知中的肯定性信息增加,朝向消极方向的政治态度变化则更多聚集在政治情感上;促使政治态度发生转变的因素有利益关切、政府防控行为、媒体推动、参照效应、制度因素和政治价值观,这些因素构成了“多因素互嵌说”;由于六种因素在政治态度变化中的相互作用与催化形式不同,因此产生了不同的政治态度变化路径;其中参照效应在两种政治态度的分化中起到了关键性作用,联结起所有元素,形成了所谓的“参照逻辑”。
关键词(KeyWords): 重大公共卫生事件;政治态度;政治认知;政治情感;参照效应
基金项目(Foundation): 国家社会科学基金一般项目“新时代国家治理中农民政治态度转变机制研究”(项目批准号:18BZZ020)资助
作者(Author): 李蓉蓉,李晓丹,段萌琦
参考文献(References):
- 陈向明.1999.扎根理论的思路和方法[J].教育研究与实验,(4):58-63.Chen X M.1999.Grounded theory:Its train of thought and methods[J].Educational Research and Experiment,(4):58-63.(in Chinese)
- 樊红敏,王新星.2022.地方政府疫情防控行为如何影响居民获得感?——基于公众满意度的实证调查[J].河南师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),49(5):82-89.Fan H M,Wang X X.2022.How does local government's epidemic prevention and control behavior affect residents' sense of gain?—Empirical based on public satisfaction survey[J].Journal of Henan Normal University (Philosophy and Social Sciences),49(5):82-89.(in Chinese)
- 李蓉蓉,段萌琦.2019.政治心理学的中国研究:价值、基础与议题[J].山西大学学报(哲学社会科学版),42(1):62-71.Li R R,Duan M Q.2019.Political psychology study in China:Values,bases and issues[J].Journal of Shanxi University (Philosophy & Social Science),42(1):62-71.(in Chinese)
- 李升.2017.主客观阶层位置与社会政治态度研究——兼论中国中产阶层的“稳定器”功能[J].社会发展研究,4(2):73-88.Li S.2017.The social-political attitudes of subjective-objective class:A study on social function of the middle class in China[J].Journal of Social Development,4(2):73-88.(in Chinese)
- 卢剑,肖子伦,冯廷勇.2017.元认知:态度与说服研究的新视角[J].心理科学进展,25(5):866-877.Lu J,Xiao Z L,Feng T Y.2017.Metacognition:A new perspective on attitude and persuasion study[J].Advances in Psychological Science,25(5):866-877.(in Chinese)
- 陆剑云,李铁钢,冯晶,等.2015.广州市涉禽食品从业人员在禽流感疫情前后的态度和行为变化的分析[J].中华疾病控制杂志,19(7):679-682.Lu J Y,Li T G,Feng J,et al.2015.The change of attitude and behavior toward the prevention of H7N9 avian influenza in poultry-related food workers in Guangzhou city[J].Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention,19(7):679-682.(in Chinese)
- 马得勇,王丽娜.2015.中国网民的意识形态立场及其形成——一个实证的分析[J].社会,35(5):142-167.Ma D Y,Wang L N.2015.Chinese Netizens' political ideology and their sources:An empirical analysis[J].Chinese Journal of Sociology,35(5):142-167.(in Chinese)
- 马得勇,陆屹洲.2019.信息接触、威权人格、意识形态与网络民族主义——中国网民政治态度形成机制分析[J].清华大学学报(哲学社会科学版),34(3):180-192.Ma D Y,Lu Y Z.2019.Information exposure,authoritarian personality,ideology,and Nationalism:The analysis of the causal mechanism of Chinese mass political attitudes[J].Journal of Tsinghua University (Philosophy and Social Sciences),34(3):180-192.(in Chinese)
- 孟天广.2022.福利制度的过程治理:再分配、政府质量与政治信任[J].行政论坛,28(1):31-39.Meng T G.2022.Process based governance of welfare regime:Redistribution,quality of government and political trust[J].Administrative Tribune,28(1):31-39.(in Chinese)
- 王建明,王俊豪.2011.公众低碳消费模式的影响因素模型与政府管制政策——基于扎根理论的一个探索性研究[J].管理世界,(4):58-68.Wang J M,Wang J H.2011.The influencing elements of the public low-carbon consumption,and the governments' regulatory policies[J].Management World,(4):58-68.(in Chinese)
- 王丽萍.2014.情绪与政治:理解政治生活中的情绪[J].清华大学学报(哲学社会科学版),29(2):124-133.Wang L P.2014.Emotion and politics:Understanding emotions in political life[J].Journal of Tsinghua University (Philosophy and Social Sciences),29(2):124-133.(in Chinese)
- 王浦劬.2006.政治学基础[M].2版.北京:北京大学出版社.Wang P Q.2006.Foundations of politics[M].2nd ed.Beijing:Peking University Press.(in Chinese)
- 尉建文,谢镇荣.2015.灾后重建中的政府满意度——基于汶川地震的经验发现[J].社会学研究,30(1):97-113.Wei J W,Tse C W.2015.Satisfaction with government in disaster recovery:A case study on Wenchuan earthquake[J].Sociological Studies,30(1):97-113.(in Chinese)
- 肖唐镖,余泓波.2014.农民政治价值观的变迁及其影响因素——五省(市)60村的跟踪研究(1999—2011)[J].华中师范大学学报(人文社会科学版),53(1):17-30.Xiao T B,Yu H B.2014.On the change of Chinese peasants' political values and its determinants:Based on the tracking study of five provinces (1999—2011)[J].Journal of Huazhong Normal University (Humanities and Social Sciences),53(1):17-30.(in Chinese)
- 尹德慈.2005.阶层结构变化对区域政治体制改革的影响——基于广州社会阶层政治态度调查的实证分析[J].经济社会体制比较,(4):94-98.Yin D C.2005.The impact of social stratification on regional political system reform[J].Comparative Economic & Social Systems,(4):94-98.(in Chinese)
- 俞吾金.1993.意识形态论[M].上海:上海人民出版社.Yu W J.1993.On Ideology[M].Shanghai:Shanghai People's Press.(in Chinese)
- 赵红军,石佳鑫,左百官,等.2021.我国新冠疫情国内防控治理的成效与经验——基于全国范围网络调研数据的分析[J].深圳社会科学,4(1):5-17.Zhao H J,Shi J X,Zuo B G,et al.2021.The governance effectiveness and experience of China's COVID-19 pandemic prevention and control—An analysis based on the data from a national-wide internet survey[J].Social Sciences in Shenzhen,4(1):5-17.(in Chinese)
- 郑建君,赵东东.2021.国家何以稳定:基于政治价值观影响作用的分析[J].新视野,(1):46-51.Zheng J J,Zhao D D.2021.How can the nation be stable:An analysis based on the influence of political values[J].Expanding Horizons,(1):46-51.(in Chinese)
- 郑昱.2017.突发公共事件中舆论信息传播倾向的影响因素——基于民众负性情绪的研究视角[J].情报理论与实践,40(7):80-87.Zheng Y.2017.The influencing factors of information dissemination propensity of public opinion in public emergency[J].Information Studies:Theory & Application,40(7):80-87.(in Chinese)
- Allport G W.1935.Attitudes[M]//Murchison C.A Handbook of Social Psychology.Worcester:Clark University Press.
- Beck U.1998.Democracy without enemies[M].Malden:Polity Press.
- Bergholt D,Lujala P.2012.Climate-related natural disasters,economic growth,and armed civil conflict[J].Journal of Peace Research,49(1):147-162.
- Charmaz K.2006.Constructing grounded theory:A practical guide through qualitative analysis[M].London:Sage Publications.
- Edwards A L.1957.Techniques of attitude scale construction[M].New York:Appleton-Century-Crofts.
- Fair C C,Kuhn P,Malhotra N,et al.2017.Natural Disasters and Political Engagement:Evidence from the 2010-11 Pakistani Floods[J].Research Papers.
- Glaser B G,Strauss A L.1967.The discovery of grounded theory:Strategies for qualitative research[M].Chicago:Aldine Transaction.
- Greenberg J,Solomon S,Pyszczynski T.1997.Terror management theory of self-esteem and cultural worldviews:Empirical assessments and conceptual refinements[J].Advances in Experimental Social Psychology,29:61-139.
- Healy A,Malhotra N.2010.Random events,economic losses,and retrospective voting:Implications for democratic competence[J].Quarterly Journal of Political Science,5(2):193-208.
- Jaeger D A,Klor E F,Miaari S H,et al.2012.The struggle for Palestinian hearts and minds:Violence and public opinion in the second intifada[J].Journal of Public Economics,96(3/4):354-368.
- Katz G,Levin I.2016.The dynamics of political support in emerging democracies:Evidence from a natural disaster in Peru[J].International Journal of Public Opinion Research,28(2):173-195.
- Kuklinski J H,Cobb M D,Gilens M.1997.Racial attitudes and the “New South”[J].The Journal of Politics,59(2):323-349.
- Lambert A J,Schott J P,Scherer L.2011.Threat,politics,and attitudes:Toward a greater understanding of rally-'round-the-flag effects[J].Current Directions in Psychological Science,20(6):343-348.
- Nel P.2008.The politics of economic inequality in developing countries[M].New York:Palgrave Macmillan.
- Petty R E,Kasmer J A,Haugtvedt C P,et al.1987.Source and message factors in persuasion:A reply to stiff's critique of the elaboration likelihood model[J].Communication Monographs,54(3):233-249.
- Ramsay K W.2011.Cheap talk diplomacy,voluntary negotiations,and variable bargaining power[J].International Studies Quarterly,55(4):1003-1023.
- Riley M W,Hovland C I,Janis I L,et al.1954.Communication and persuasion:Psychological studies of opinion change[J].American Sociological Review,19(3):355-357.
- Rokeach M.1968.Beliefs,attitudes,and values:A theory of organization and change[M].San Francisco:Jossey-Bass Inc.
- Shi T J.2015.The cultural logic of politics in the mainland and Taiwan[M].New York:Cambridge University Press.
- Strauss A,Corbin J.1994.Grounded theory methodology:An overview[M]//Denzin N K,Lincoln Y S.Handbook of Qualitative Research.Thousand Oaks:Sage Publications.
- Zaller J,Feldman S.1992.A simple theory of the survey response:Answering questions versus revealing preferences[J].American Journal of Political Science,36(3):579-616.
- (1)国内外关于政治态度的研究中,对于政治态度的界定出现了概念扩容、概念窄化、概念混用的现象。概念扩容就是将任何政治心理现象都看作政治态度,使得政治态度成为一个筐,什么都能往里装,如将爱国主义、政治支持等都纳入政治态度之中;概念窄化则是走向另一个极端,就是将其他政治心理概念,如政治价值观、政治信仰甚至政治信任等,都等同于政治态度;概念混用就是将政治态度意识形态化,即用保守主义、自由主义等意识形态术语描述政治态度。
- (2)本文中提及的非常态主要是指自然灾害(洪水、海啸、地震)、公共安全事件和公共卫生事件等危机状态。
- (3)重大公共卫生事件的事态严重地区、较严重地区与不严重地区的判定是按照2020年春季的判定标准确定的。
- (4)扎根理论的特点是对样本量没有特殊的要求,只要达到理论饱和,就可以认为研究想要获得的信息已经完备。