祝哲,张楠,张静,华晓梅

• 1:暨南大学公共管理学院/应急管理学院
• 2:清华大学公共管理学院
• 3:清华大学计算社会科学与国家治理实验室
• 4:河北省档案馆

摘要(Abstract)：

把握公众风险感知的规律并进行合理引导对新冠肺炎疫情防控至关重要。以往研究发现,政府信任是风险感知的主要影响因素之一,但二者之间的关系却未有定论。在新冠肺炎疫情这一突发公共卫生危机事件情境下,政府信任如何影响公众风险感知?媒介依赖会加剧或削弱这种影响吗?本文从挤压效应和遵从效应两个角度来解释政府信任对风险感知的作用机制,基于2020年3月在全国范围开展的配额抽样与便利抽样相结合的问卷调查,使用有序逻辑回归模型对2432份有效问卷分析发现:公众的政府信任负向影响其风险感知水平,公众的媒介依赖发挥调节效应。本文提出的影响机制解释了现有研究对政府信任和风险感知关系的争论,研究结论可以为我国各级政府制定有效的风险沟通策略提供实证支撑。

关键词(KeyWords)： 公众风险感知;政府信任;媒介依赖;新冠肺炎疫情;疫情防控

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目“双系统视角下突发公共卫生事件公众风险感知及应对行为演化研究”(项目批准号:72004078);国家自然科学基金项目“公共部门数字化转型背景下协同治理模式创新与效能评价研究”(项目批准号:71974111);; 清华大学春风基金项目“基于多源数据分析的新冠疫情应对政策公众行为影响研究”(项目批准号:2020Z99CFW048)资助

作者(Author): 祝哲,张楠,张静,华晓梅

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• (1)使用频率排名并列第一的各自被计算为第一顺序。